No recent diplomatic announcements or official statements have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty and a lack of momentum. The organization, aimed at fostering international conflict resolution, has not reported active negotiations or invitations extended to specific nations, with prior membership limited to founding participants. Bettors should monitor upcoming UN General Assembly sessions, bilateral summits, or foreign ministry disclosures in the coming weeks, as any endorsement from major powers like the US, China, or EU members could shift probabilities ahead of the deadline. Structural barriers, including domestic ratification processes and geopolitical tensions, continue to weigh on potential expansions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,721,034 交易量
印度
3%
義大利
2%
巴西
1%
比利時
1%
英國
1%
芬蘭
1%
德國
1%
法國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
中國
1%
丹麥
1%
瑞典
1%
荷蘭
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
$1,721,034 交易量
印度
3%
義大利
2%
巴西
1%
比利時
1%
英國
1%
芬蘭
1%
德國
1%
法國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
中國
1%
丹麥
1%
瑞典
1%
荷蘭
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...No recent diplomatic announcements or official statements have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty and a lack of momentum. The organization, aimed at fostering international conflict resolution, has not reported active negotiations or invitations extended to specific nations, with prior membership limited to founding participants. Bettors should monitor upcoming UN General Assembly sessions, bilateral summits, or foreign ministry disclosures in the coming weeks, as any endorsement from major powers like the US, China, or EU members could shift probabilities ahead of the deadline. Structural barriers, including domestic ratification processes and geopolitical tensions, continue to weigh on potential expansions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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