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政治·提及

What will Trump say in March?

Market icon
政治·提及

What will Trump say in March?

$1,232,577 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$1,232,577 交易量

Polymarket

Big Fat Cat

$2,239 交易量

No

N Word

$58,292 交易量

No

Hottest Nation

$12,482 交易量

No

Little Rocket Man

$3,240 交易量

No

China Virus / Wuhan Lab

$3,776 交易量

No

Low Energy

$7,787 交易量

No

Aliens are Real

$13,233 交易量

No

Kanye / Taylor Swift

$3,228 交易量

No

Banana Republic

$1,783 交易量

No

Barack Hussein Obama

$11,314 交易量

Yes

Bitcoin

$9,622 交易量

Yes

Judy Shelton

$2,869 交易量

No

Data Center

$0 交易量

Yes

Midnight Hammer

$16,634 交易量

Yes

Secret Word

$499 交易量

No

Debate

$0 交易量

Yes

Drill Baby Drill

$0 交易量

Yes

Charlie Kirk

$6,507 交易量

No

War On Fraud

$753 交易量

No

Lonely

$0 交易量

Yes

Coward

$6,430 交易量

No

Capital of the World

$1,840 交易量

No

UFC Fight

$2,214 交易量

No

Easter

$0 交易量

Yes

Liberation Day

$2,390 交易量

No

Pulitzer Prize

$0 交易量

Yes

Snake

$8,595 交易量

Yes

Sudan

$1,649 交易量

No

Truth Social

$6,352 交易量

No

Escalator

$1,157 交易量

Yes

Erika Kirk

$1,047 交易量

No

Third term

$1,046,647 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$1,232,577
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$1,232,577
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Barack Hussein Obama" at 100%, followed by "Bitcoin" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in March?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in March?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in March?" is "Barack Hussein Obama" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bitcoin" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.