Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, marking their first direct attack since US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities earlier this month. This escalation, coupled with Houthi threats of direct military intervention and renewed Red Sea shipping disruptions via the Bab al-Mandab Strait, has intensified focus on potential retaliatory strikes by US or Israeli forces against Houthi targets in Yemen. No such actions reported in the past 30 days, following 2025 US Operation Rough Rider. Traders monitor for rapid responses amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict, with Houthi statements and further proxy actions as key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$247,668 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
67%
$247,668 交易量
3月31日
$247,668 交易量
67%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, marking their first direct attack since US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities earlier this month. This escalation, coupled with Houthi threats of direct military intervention and renewed Red Sea shipping disruptions via the Bab al-Mandab Strait, has intensified focus on potential retaliatory strikes by US or Israeli forces against Houthi targets in Yemen. No such actions reported in the past 30 days, following 2025 US Operation Rough Rider. Traders monitor for rapid responses amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict, with Houthi statements and further proxy actions as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
交易量
$247,668結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, marking their first direct attack since US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities earlier this month. This escalation, coupled with Houthi threats of direct military intervention and renewed Red Sea shipping disruptions via the Bab al-Mandab Strait, has intensified focus on potential retaliatory strikes by US or Israeli forces against Houthi targets in Yemen. No such actions reported in the past 30 days, following 2025 US Operation Rough Rider. Traders monitor for rapid responses amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict, with Houthi statements and further proxy actions as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$247,668結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, marking their first direct attack since US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities earlier this month. This escalation, coupled with Houthi threats of direct military intervention and renewed Red Sea shipping disruptions via the Bab al-Mandab Strait, has intensified focus on potential retaliatory strikes by US or Israeli forces against Houthi targets in Yemen. No such actions reported in the past 30 days, following 2025 US Operation Rough Rider. Traders monitor for rapid responses amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict, with Houthi statements and further proxy actions as key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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