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選舉·主要

TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者

湯姆·塞爾 85.8%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲 7.2%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

馬修·史密斯 1.0%

Polymarket

$48,335 交易量

湯姆·塞爾 85.8%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲 7.2%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

馬修·史密斯 1.0%

Polymarket

$48,335 交易量

湯姆·塞爾

$42,729 交易量

89%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲

$0 交易量

7%

Ryan Zink

$0 交易量

3%

馬修·史密斯

$0 交易量

1%

唐納德·梅

$2,993 交易量

1%

Jason Corley

$0 交易量

1%

詹姆斯·巴比

$2,613 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.

In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.

In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·塞爾" at 89%, followed by "亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $48.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" is "湯姆·塞爾" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.