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政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 20.4%

塔克·卡爾森 5.0%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$492,261,754 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 20.4%

塔克·卡爾森 5.0%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$492,261,754 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$6,892,355 交易量

37%

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馬可·魯比奧

$6,631,167 交易量

20%

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塔克·卡爾森

$7,278,050 交易量

5%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$8,005,331 交易量

3%

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格倫·楊金

$5,615,460 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,333,183 交易量

2%

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托馬斯·馬西

$2,742,554 交易量

2%

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唐納·川普二世

$5,911,893 交易量

2%

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蘭德·保羅

$15,989,944 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,360,241 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·特朗普

$5,294,089 交易量

1%

Market icon

泰德·克魯茲

$14,072,596 交易量

1%

Market icon

伊隆·馬斯克

$21,726,618 交易量

1%

Market icon

圖爾西·加巴德

$9,184,783 交易量

1%

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瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$3,942,795 交易量

1%

Market icon

妮基·黑利

$7,235,400 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,208,470 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$28,028,509 交易量

1%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$10,951,397 交易量

1%

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布萊恩·坎普

$12,910,699 交易量

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,109,141 交易量

1%

Market icon

凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,302,012 交易量

1%

Market icon

克里斯蒂·諾姆

$27,981,292 交易量

1%

Market icon

湯姆·布雷迪

$28,326,010 交易量

1%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$23,387,402 交易量

1%

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馬特·蓋茨

$15,208,697 交易量

1%

Market icon

皮特·赫格塞思

$1,666,233 交易量

1%

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拜倫·唐納茲

$33,164,787 交易量

1%

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伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,402,506 交易量

1%

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喬什·霍利

$15,660,317 交易量

1%

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約翰·圖恩

$28,918,702 交易量

1%

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喬·肯特

$1,755,511 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·班農

$14,763,676 交易量

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,752,651 交易量

1%

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邁克·彭斯

$32,556,335 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile role as HHS Secretary and crossover appeal from his prior independent run and Trump endorsement, amid bets on his health policy focus resonating with primary voters. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% as the presumed heir apparent with incumbency advantages and strong early straw poll leads like CPAC's 53%, but odds have declined recently due to reports of family priorities around his fourth child's birth and uneven polling. Marco Rubio's 20.4% surge stems from GOP donors launching a shadow "draft Rubio" effort impressed by his Secretary of State performance amid Iran escalations, with President Trump informally polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences; 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party dynamics and path-to-victory in swing states.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile role as HHS Secretary and crossover appeal from his prior independent run and Trump endorsement, amid bets on his health policy focus resonating with primary voters. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% as the presumed heir apparent with incumbency advantages and strong early straw poll leads like CPAC's 53%, but odds have declined recently due to reports of family priorities around his fourth child's birth and uneven polling. Marco Rubio's 20.4% surge stems from GOP donors launching a shadow "draft Rubio" effort impressed by his Secretary of State performance amid Iran escalations, with President Trump informally polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences; 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party dynamics and path-to-victory in swing states.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile role as HHS Secretary and crossover appeal from his prior independent run and Trump endorsement, amid bets on his health policy focus resonating with primary voters. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% as the presumed heir apparent with incumbency advantages and strong early straw poll leads like CPAC's 53%, but odds have declined recently due to reports of family priorities around his fourth child's birth and uneven polling. Marco Rubio's 20.4% surge stems from GOP donors launching a shadow "draft Rubio" effort impressed by his Secretary of State performance amid Iran escalations, with President Trump informally polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences; 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party dynamics and path-to-victory in swing states.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile role as HHS Secretary and crossover appeal from his prior independent run and Trump endorsement, amid bets on his health policy focus resonating with primary voters. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% as the presumed heir apparent with incumbency advantages and strong early straw poll leads like CPAC's 53%, but odds have declined recently due to reports of family priorities around his fourth child's birth and uneven polling. Marco Rubio's 20.4% surge stems from GOP donors launching a shadow "draft Rubio" effort impressed by his Secretary of State performance amid Iran escalations, with President Trump informally polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences; 2026 midterms loom as a key test for party dynamics and path-to-victory in swing states.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $492.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.