**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 10th Congressional District**, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean encompassing Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, who secured landslide victories with over 40-point margins in prior cycles, faces a competitive closed primary on June 23 against NYC Comptroller Brad Lander—recently endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders—and Nickie Kane, amid tensions over outside PAC spending highlighted in late March debates. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged for the November 3 general election, per FEC filings. While commanding, odds could shift via a scandal imploding the Democratic nominee post-primary, recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting urban turnout erosion—though historical base rates for safe Democratic incumbents suggest low upset risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,653 交易量
$28,653 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$28,653 交易量
$28,653 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$8,206 交易量
94%
共和黨
$20,447 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 10th Congressional District**, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean encompassing Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, who secured landslide victories with over 40-point margins in prior cycles, faces a competitive closed primary on June 23 against NYC Comptroller Brad Lander—recently endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders—and Nickie Kane, amid tensions over outside PAC spending highlighted in late March debates. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged for the November 3 general election, per FEC filings. While commanding, odds could shift via a scandal imploding the Democratic nominee post-primary, recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting urban turnout erosion—though historical base rates for safe Democratic incumbents suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$28,653結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 10th Congressional District**, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean encompassing Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, who secured landslide victories with over 40-point margins in prior cycles, faces a competitive closed primary on June 23 against NYC Comptroller Brad Lander—recently endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders—and Nickie Kane, amid tensions over outside PAC spending highlighted in late March debates. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged for the November 3 general election, per FEC filings. While commanding, odds could shift via a scandal imploding the Democratic nominee post-primary, recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting urban turnout erosion—though historical base rates for safe Democratic incumbents suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,653結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 10th Congressional District**, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean encompassing Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, who secured landslide victories with over 40-point margins in prior cycles, faces a competitive closed primary on June 23 against NYC Comptroller Brad Lander—recently endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders—and Nickie Kane, amid tensions over outside PAC spending highlighted in late March debates. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged for the November 3 general election, per FEC filings. While commanding, odds could shift via a scandal imploding the Democratic nominee post-primary, recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting urban turnout erosion—though historical base rates for safe Democratic incumbents suggest low upset risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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