Market icon
政治·主要

新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Greg Hull 58%

杜克·羅德里格斯 34%

史蒂夫·蘭尼爾 2.1%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$790,292 交易量

Greg Hull 58%

杜克·羅德里格斯 34%

史蒂夫·蘭尼爾 2.1%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$790,292 交易量

Greg Hull

$118,788 交易量

58%

杜克·羅德里格斯

$7,509 交易量

34%

史蒂夫·蘭尼爾

$642,523 交易量

2%

Brian Cillessen

$2,320 交易量

1%

蘇珊娜·馬丁內斯

$4,052 交易量

1%

貝琳達·羅伯森

$4,613 交易量

1%

朱迪思·中村

$5,914 交易量

1%

約翰·桑切斯

$2,196 交易量

<1%

馬克·墨菲

$2,377 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull's commanding 57% victory among delegates at the Republican pre-primary convention on March 7 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 58% implied probability for New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary, signaling strong party insider support and momentum from recent endorsements. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34% after securing ballot access via petition signatures despite a weak 10% convention showing, buoyed by fundraising pledges amid an ongoing New Mexico Supreme Court appeal over his residency eligibility. The March 25 Secretary of State certification confirmed a three-way contest with Doug Turner, while lower-odds candidates like Steve Lanier reflect limited delegate backing, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment ahead of the primary.

Gregg Hull's commanding 57% victory among delegates at the Republican pre-primary convention on March 7 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 58% implied probability for New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary, signaling strong party insider support and momentum from recent endorsements. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34% after securing ballot access via petition signatures despite a weak 10% convention showing, buoyed by fundraising pledges amid an ongoing New Mexico Supreme Court appeal over his residency eligibility. The March 25 Secretary of State certification confirmed a three-way contest with Doug Turner, while lower-odds candidates like Steve Lanier reflect limited delegate backing, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment ahead of the primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull's commanding 57% victory among delegates at the Republican pre-primary convention on March 7 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 58% implied probability for New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary, signaling strong party insider support and momentum from recent endorsements. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34% after securing ballot access via petition signatures despite a weak 10% convention showing, buoyed by fundraising pledges amid an ongoing New Mexico Supreme Court appeal over his residency eligibility. The March 25 Secretary of State certification confirmed a three-way contest with Doug Turner, while lower-odds candidates like Steve Lanier reflect limited delegate backing, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment ahead of the primary.

Gregg Hull's commanding 57% victory among delegates at the Republican pre-primary convention on March 7 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 58% implied probability for New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary, signaling strong party insider support and momentum from recent endorsements. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34% after securing ballot access via petition signatures despite a weak 10% convention showing, buoyed by fundraising pledges amid an ongoing New Mexico Supreme Court appeal over his residency eligibility. The March 25 Secretary of State certification confirmed a three-way contest with Doug Turner, while lower-odds candidates like Steve Lanier reflect limited delegate backing, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment ahead of the primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 58%, followed by "杜克·羅德里格斯" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $790.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Greg Hull" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "杜克·羅德里格斯" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新墨西哥州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.