Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 50% and Republicans at 49% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election, capturing the battleground state's history of razor-thin races decided by 1-5 points. Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, who prevailed by 5% in 2022, holds steady approval around 50% per recent surveys, but Democratic contenders like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar poll competitively in early matchups showing dead heats. A mid-October RMG Research poll indicated a 48-47 Republican edge in a Lombardo-Ford hypothetical, offset by Democratic strength among Latino voters and unions amid tourism and housing pressures. June 2026 primaries and national midterm dynamics could create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,327 交易量
$18,327 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
50%
共和黨
49%
$18,327 交易量
$18,327 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$3,806 交易量
50%
共和黨
$14,521 交易量
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 50% and Republicans at 49% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election, capturing the battleground state's history of razor-thin races decided by 1-5 points. Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, who prevailed by 5% in 2022, holds steady approval around 50% per recent surveys, but Democratic contenders like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar poll competitively in early matchups showing dead heats. A mid-October RMG Research poll indicated a 48-47 Republican edge in a Lombardo-Ford hypothetical, offset by Democratic strength among Latino voters and unions amid tourism and housing pressures. June 2026 primaries and national midterm dynamics could create separation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$18,327結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 50% and Republicans at 49% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election, capturing the battleground state's history of razor-thin races decided by 1-5 points. Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, who prevailed by 5% in 2022, holds steady approval around 50% per recent surveys, but Democratic contenders like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar poll competitively in early matchups showing dead heats. A mid-October RMG Research poll indicated a 48-47 Republican edge in a Lombardo-Ford hypothetical, offset by Democratic strength among Latino voters and unions amid tourism and housing pressures. June 2026 primaries and national midterm dynamics could create separation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$18,327結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 50% and Republicans at 49% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election, capturing the battleground state's history of razor-thin races decided by 1-5 points. Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, who prevailed by 5% in 2022, holds steady approval around 50% per recent surveys, but Democratic contenders like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar poll competitively in early matchups showing dead heats. A mid-October RMG Research poll indicated a 48-47 Republican edge in a Lombardo-Ford hypothetical, offset by Democratic strength among Latino voters and unions amid tourism and housing pressures. June 2026 primaries and national midterm dynamics could create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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