US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian military targets under Operation Epic Fury, now one month since initial strikes on February 28 degraded Tehran's missile launchers, nuclear sites, and IRGC command posts. Yemen's Houthi rebels escalated yesterday with their first direct missile attack on Israel, widening the conflict and drawing US responses amid new Pentagon reports of American casualties. Iran persists with retaliatory drone and missile barrages on Israeli cities and US Gulf bases while blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic signals emerged March 25 as Iran reviews a US-mediated proposal for de-escalation, though President Trump described operations as rapidly decimating regime capabilities. Traders monitor negotiation progress and potential proxy escalations for resolution timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$201,117 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
March 29
1%
March 30
2%
March 31
3%
4月15日
25%
4月30日
56%
5月31日
77%
6月30日
92%
$201,117 交易量
March 29
$27,722 交易量
1%
March 30
$22,335 交易量
2%
March 31
$84,865 交易量
3%
4月15日
$3,371 交易量
25%
4月30日
$1,751 交易量
56%
5月31日
$2,044 交易量
77%
6月30日
$10 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian military targets under Operation Epic Fury, now one month since initial strikes on February 28 degraded Tehran's missile launchers, nuclear sites, and IRGC command posts. Yemen's Houthi rebels escalated yesterday with their first direct missile attack on Israel, widening the conflict and drawing US responses amid new Pentagon reports of American casualties. Iran persists with retaliatory drone and missile barrages on Israeli cities and US Gulf bases while blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic signals emerged March 25 as Iran reviews a US-mediated proposal for de-escalation, though President Trump described operations as rapidly decimating regime capabilities. Traders monitor negotiation progress and potential proxy escalations for resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
交易量
$201,117結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian military targets under Operation Epic Fury, now one month since initial strikes on February 28 degraded Tehran's missile launchers, nuclear sites, and IRGC command posts. Yemen's Houthi rebels escalated yesterday with their first direct missile attack on Israel, widening the conflict and drawing US responses amid new Pentagon reports of American casualties. Iran persists with retaliatory drone and missile barrages on Israeli cities and US Gulf bases while blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic signals emerged March 25 as Iran reviews a US-mediated proposal for de-escalation, though President Trump described operations as rapidly decimating regime capabilities. Traders monitor negotiation progress and potential proxy escalations for resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$201,117結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian military targets under Operation Epic Fury, now one month since initial strikes on February 28 degraded Tehran's missile launchers, nuclear sites, and IRGC command posts. Yemen's Houthi rebels escalated yesterday with their first direct missile attack on Israel, widening the conflict and drawing US responses amid new Pentagon reports of American casualties. Iran persists with retaliatory drone and missile barrages on Israeli cities and US Gulf bases while blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic signals emerged March 25 as Iran reviews a US-mediated proposal for de-escalation, though President Trump described operations as rapidly decimating regime capabilities. Traders monitor negotiation progress and potential proxy escalations for resolution timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions