3月底最大的公司？

Name: 3月底最大的公司？
Start: 2025-11-12T21:12:22.812Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

經濟艙·大型科技公司

3月底最大的公司？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

英偉達 98.6%

蘋果 <1%

Alphabet <1%

特斯拉 <1%

$13,748,223 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

英偉達

$1,785,389 交易量

99%

蘋果

$951,026 交易量

Alphabet

$779,631 交易量

特斯拉

$2,985,408 交易量

<1%

亞馬遜

$3,751,914 交易量

<1%

微軟

$2,211,664 交易量

<1%

沙烏地阿美

$1,283,491 交易量

<1%

英偉達 98.6%

蘋果 <1%

Alphabet <1%

特斯拉 <1%

$13,748,223 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

英偉達

$1,785,389 交易量

99%

蘋果

$951,026 交易量

Alphabet

$779,631 交易量

特斯拉

$2,985,408 交易量

<1%

亞馬遜

$3,751,914 交易量

<1%

微軟

$2,211,664 交易量

<1%

沙烏地阿美

$1,283,491 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

NVIDIA's 98.6% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at end of March reflects trader consensus on its AI dominance, with data center revenue surging 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024 to $26 billion, propelling its capitalization past $3 trillion amid Blackwell chip demand. This positioning stems from unmatched GPU leadership, outpacing rivals like Microsoft and Apple, whose growth lags in cloud and consumer segments. Supporting factors include sustained hyperscaler capex and minimal supply constraints. Realistic challenges include a Q1 earnings miss below $7.50 EPS consensus, AI hype cooldown triggering 20%+ drawdown, or regulatory antitrust scrutiny eroding premium multiples.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月底最大的公司？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "英偉達" at 99%, followed by "蘋果" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月底最大的公司？" has generated $13.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月底最大的公司？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月底最大的公司？" is "英偉達" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月底最大的公司？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "3月底最大的公司？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $13.7 million traded on “3月底最大的公司？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "3月底最大的公司？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 99¢ for "英偉達" in the "3月底最大的公司？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 99% chance that "英偉達" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 99¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 1¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "3月底最大的公司？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "3月底最大的公司？" market has an active community of 1,131 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "3月底最大的公司？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

3月底最大的公司？

3月底最大的公司？

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評論 (1,131)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "3月底最大的公司？" prediction market?

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