Market icon
世界·以色列

以色列議會被...解散？

Market icon
世界·以色列

以色列議會被...解散？

$914,200 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$914,200 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$111,788 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset narrowly approved the 2026 state budget on March 30 by a 62-55 vote, averting automatic dissolution under law that mandates passage by March 31 or triggers snap elections within 90 days—a key stabilizer for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government. This followed months of tensions with ultra-Orthodox Shas and United Torah Judaism parties over stalled military draft exemption legislation, echoing a failed opposition dissolution bill in June 2025. In Israel's proportional representation system, the right-wing coalition holds a slim majority reliant on far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit, vulnerable to no-confidence votes needing 61 MKs. With general elections due in late October, traders monitor coalition fractures, judicial challenges to government reforms, or Gaza war escalations as potential catalysts for early polls. No major developments have emerged in the past week.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$914,200
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset narrowly approved the 2026 state budget on March 30 by a 62-55 vote, averting automatic dissolution under law that mandates passage by March 31 or triggers snap elections within 90 days—a key stabilizer for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government. This followed months of tensions with ultra-Orthodox Shas and United Torah Judaism parties over stalled military draft exemption legislation, echoing a failed opposition dissolution bill in June 2025. In Israel's proportional representation system, the right-wing coalition holds a slim majority reliant on far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit, vulnerable to no-confidence votes needing 61 MKs. With general elections due in late October, traders monitor coalition fractures, judicial challenges to government reforms, or Gaza war escalations as potential catalysts for early polls. No major developments have emerged in the past week.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$914,200
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列議會被...解散？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 10%, followed by "10月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列議會被...解散？" has generated $914.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列議會被...解散？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "以色列議會被...解散？" is "6月30日" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "以色列議會被...解散？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.