Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced on March 24 that IDF forces will seize and hold southern Lebanon up to the Litani River to establish a security zone, prompting trader consensus at 60% for a crossing by June 30 amid escalating ground operations and airstrikes. In recent days, the IDF has destroyed multiple bridges over the Litani to block Hezbollah reinforcements and weapons transfers, following limited ground incursions launched mid-March and evacuation orders for civilians south of the river. Hezbollah has vowed resistance, but official Israeli statements signaling long-term control, coupled with intensified attacks isolating the area, have boosted yes probabilities, though diplomatic efforts or intensified fighting could alter the trajectory before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$62,137 交易量
$62,137 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
$62,137 交易量
$62,137 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced on March 24 that IDF forces will seize and hold southern Lebanon up to the Litani River to establish a security zone, prompting trader consensus at 60% for a crossing by June 30 amid escalating ground operations and airstrikes. In recent days, the IDF has destroyed multiple bridges over the Litani to block Hezbollah reinforcements and weapons transfers, following limited ground incursions launched mid-March and evacuation orders for civilians south of the river. Hezbollah has vowed resistance, but official Israeli statements signaling long-term control, coupled with intensified attacks isolating the area, have boosted yes probabilities, though diplomatic efforts or intensified fighting could alter the trajectory before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$62,137結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced on March 24 that IDF forces will seize and hold southern Lebanon up to the Litani River to establish a security zone, prompting trader consensus at 60% for a crossing by June 30 amid escalating ground operations and airstrikes. In recent days, the IDF has destroyed multiple bridges over the Litani to block Hezbollah reinforcements and weapons transfers, following limited ground incursions launched mid-March and evacuation orders for civilians south of the river. Hezbollah has vowed resistance, but official Israeli statements signaling long-term control, coupled with intensified attacks isolating the area, have boosted yes probabilities, though diplomatic efforts or intensified fighting could alter the trajectory before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,137結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced on March 24 that IDF forces will seize and hold southern Lebanon up to the Litani River to establish a security zone, prompting trader consensus at 60% for a crossing by June 30 amid escalating ground operations and airstrikes. In recent days, the IDF has destroyed multiple bridges over the Litani to block Hezbollah reinforcements and weapons transfers, following limited ground incursions launched mid-March and evacuation orders for civilians south of the river. Hezbollah has vowed resistance, but official Israeli statements signaling long-term control, coupled with intensified attacks isolating the area, have boosted yes probabilities, though diplomatic efforts or intensified fighting could alter the trajectory before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions