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政治·主要

愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

蘭迪·芬斯特拉 56%

亞當·斯廷 21%

扎克·蘭恩 16.9%

艾迪·安德魯斯 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

蘭迪·芬斯特拉 56%

亞當·斯廷 21%

扎克·蘭恩 16.9%

艾迪·安德魯斯 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

蘭迪·芬斯特拉

$624 交易量

61%

亞當·斯廷

$1,249 交易量

21%

扎克·蘭恩

$3,392 交易量

17%

艾迪·安德魯斯

$0 交易量

8%

布拉德·舍曼

$2,871 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for the June 2 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his congressional incumbency advantage, a seven-figure ad buy launched in early March, and a key endorsement on March 18 from former Gov. Terry Branstad, Iowa's longest-serving chief executive. Adam Steen trails at 20.5% on strong evangelical backing, including February's nod from influential Family Leader CEO Bob Vander Plaats, while Zach Lahn garners 17% from populist appeals amplified by a late-February Tucker Carlson interview focusing on land ownership and cultural issues. The field solidified after Secretary of State certification on March 17, with State Rep. Eddie Andrews recently cleared by the objection panel amid his accusations of pressure tactics from Steen's camp, underscoring base turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.

U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for the June 2 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his congressional incumbency advantage, a seven-figure ad buy launched in early March, and a key endorsement on March 18 from former Gov. Terry Branstad, Iowa's longest-serving chief executive. Adam Steen trails at 20.5% on strong evangelical backing, including February's nod from influential Family Leader CEO Bob Vander Plaats, while Zach Lahn garners 17% from populist appeals amplified by a late-February Tucker Carlson interview focusing on land ownership and cultural issues. The field solidified after Secretary of State certification on March 17, with State Rep. Eddie Andrews recently cleared by the objection panel amid his accusations of pressure tactics from Steen's camp, underscoring base turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for the June 2 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his congressional incumbency advantage, a seven-figure ad buy launched in early March, and a key endorsement on March 18 from former Gov. Terry Branstad, Iowa's longest-serving chief executive. Adam Steen trails at 20.5% on strong evangelical backing, including February's nod from influential Family Leader CEO Bob Vander Plaats, while Zach Lahn garners 17% from populist appeals amplified by a late-February Tucker Carlson interview focusing on land ownership and cultural issues. The field solidified after Secretary of State certification on March 17, with State Rep. Eddie Andrews recently cleared by the objection panel amid his accusations of pressure tactics from Steen's camp, underscoring base turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.

U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for the June 2 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his congressional incumbency advantage, a seven-figure ad buy launched in early March, and a key endorsement on March 18 from former Gov. Terry Branstad, Iowa's longest-serving chief executive. Adam Steen trails at 20.5% on strong evangelical backing, including February's nod from influential Family Leader CEO Bob Vander Plaats, while Zach Lahn garners 17% from populist appeals amplified by a late-February Tucker Carlson interview focusing on land ownership and cultural issues. The field solidified after Secretary of State certification on March 17, with State Rep. Eddie Andrews recently cleared by the objection panel amid his accusations of pressure tactics from Steen's camp, underscoring base turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭迪·芬斯特拉" at 61%, followed by "亞當·斯廷" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 9, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "蘭迪·芬斯特拉" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞當·斯廷" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.