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胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?

Market icon

胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?

$74,215 交易量

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$74,215 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$58,544 交易量

17%

4月15日

$7,265 交易量

45%

April 30

$8,407 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Houthi success in targeting Red Sea shipping by March 31, driven by a sustained pause in attacks since the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire, despite recent threats amid Iran-Israel tensions. Over 100 strikes occurred from late 2023 to mid-2025, sinking four vessels and spiking war risk insurance premiums and container freight rates, but no confirmed hits in recent weeks as U.S.-led intercepts deter operations. The Baltic Dry Index stands at 2031 points as of March 27, down 7% monthly amid rerouting normalization and vessel oversupply, pressuring shipping profits. Escalation risks persist with Houthi vows to resume if Iran war intensifies, potentially reversing freight declines before market resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Houthi success in targeting Red Sea shipping by March 31, driven by a sustained pause in attacks since the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire, despite recent threats amid Iran-Israel tensions. Over 100 strikes occurred from late 2023 to mid-2025, sinking four vessels and spiking war risk insurance premiums and container freight rates, but no confirmed hits in recent weeks as U.S.-led intercepts deter operations. The Baltic Dry Index stands at 2031 points as of March 27, down 7% monthly amid rerouting normalization and vessel oversupply, pressuring shipping profits. Escalation risks persist with Houthi vows to resume if Iran war intensifies, potentially reversing freight declines before market resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Houthi success in targeting Red Sea shipping by March 31, driven by a sustained pause in attacks since the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire, despite recent threats amid Iran-Israel tensions. Over 100 strikes occurred from late 2023 to mid-2025, sinking four vessels and spiking war risk insurance premiums and container freight rates, but no confirmed hits in recent weeks as U.S.-led intercepts deter operations. The Baltic Dry Index stands at 2031 points as of March 27, down 7% monthly amid rerouting normalization and vessel oversupply, pressuring shipping profits. Escalation risks persist with Houthi vows to resume if Iran war intensifies, potentially reversing freight declines before market resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Houthi success in targeting Red Sea shipping by March 31, driven by a sustained pause in attacks since the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire, despite recent threats amid Iran-Israel tensions. Over 100 strikes occurred from late 2023 to mid-2025, sinking four vessels and spiking war risk insurance premiums and container freight rates, but no confirmed hits in recent weeks as U.S.-led intercepts deter operations. The Baltic Dry Index stands at 2031 points as of March 27, down 7% monthly amid rerouting normalization and vessel oversupply, pressuring shipping profits. Escalation risks persist with Houthi vows to resume if Iran war intensifies, potentially reversing freight declines before market resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 57%, followed by "4月15日" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?" has generated $74.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?" is "April 30" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月15日" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.