胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？

Name: 胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？
Start: 2026-03-17T21:48:30.398Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

地緣政治·油

胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？

$36,073 交易量

Apr 15, 2026

3月31日

$36,073 交易量

10%

4月15日

$0 交易量

31%

April 30

$0 交易量

50%

$36,073 交易量

3月31日

$36,073 交易量

10%

4月15日

$0 交易量

31%

April 30

$0 交易量

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ongoing Houthi drone and missile strikes in the Red Sea, despite intensified U.S.-led coalition airstrikes, continue disrupting key shipping lanes, forcing over 90% of container vessels to reroute around Africa's Cape of Good Hope and inflating voyage costs by up to $1 million per trip in additional fuel and time. This has driven Shanghai Containerized Freight Index rates up 300% year-over-year, elevated war risk insurance premiums to 1-2% of vessel hull value, and pressured commodity prices amid supply chain bottlenecks contributing to persistent inflation. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained geopolitical risk, with market-implied odds balancing recent failed attacks against threats of escalation tied to the Israel-Hamas conflict; watch for U.S. naval responses or Yemen truce talks as near-term catalysts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 50%, followed by "4月15日" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" has generated $36.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" is "April 30" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月15日" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $36.1K traded on “胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 50¢ for "April 30" in the "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 50% chance that "April 30" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 50¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 50¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？

胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "胡塞分子成功地瞄準了運輸… ？" prediction market?

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