Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official weather station confirm the highest temperature on March 29 reached precisely 16°C during midday hours, aligning with mostly clear skies and light winds that allowed for a modest warm-up beyond initial forecasts of 13–14°C. This observational data, drawn from standard surface measurements at the reference station, has locked in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. Historical March highs in Seoul average 11–12°C, making 16°C a mild outlier driven by high-pressure dominance. Only an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden solar heating or measurement revision—scenarios not supported by current diurnal patterns or model ensembles—could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月29日首爾最高溫度?
3月29日首爾最高溫度?
16°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$591,090 交易量
$591,090 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$591,090 交易量
$591,090 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official weather station confirm the highest temperature on March 29 reached precisely 16°C during midday hours, aligning with mostly clear skies and light winds that allowed for a modest warm-up beyond initial forecasts of 13–14°C. This observational data, drawn from standard surface measurements at the reference station, has locked in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. Historical March highs in Seoul average 11–12°C, making 16°C a mild outlier driven by high-pressure dominance. Only an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden solar heating or measurement revision—scenarios not supported by current diurnal patterns or model ensembles—could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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