Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
3月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C或以下 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
33°C或以下
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或更高
否
33°C或以下 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
33°C或以下
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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