Official measurements from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires reached exactly 28°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This followed pre-event forecasts from SMN and NOAA models predicting maxima around 27°C amid a warm, humid northerly airflow, record-high April minimums (24.1°C on April 1), and partly cloudy conditions with light winds that capped peak heating. Historical April averages hover at 22–24°C, making this a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require rare SMN data revisions from quality control or sensor adjustments, typically under 0.5°C and insufficient to shift resolution bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,000 交易量
$156,000 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,000 交易量
$156,000 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 是
爭議期
最終
Official measurements from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires reached exactly 28°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This followed pre-event forecasts from SMN and NOAA models predicting maxima around 27°C amid a warm, humid northerly airflow, record-high April minimums (24.1°C on April 1), and partly cloudy conditions with light winds that capped peak heating. Historical April averages hover at 22–24°C, making this a mild warm anomaly. Realistic challenges would require rare SMN data revisions from quality control or sensor adjustments, typically under 0.5°C and insufficient to shift resolution bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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