Observed data from Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 3 reached 12°C, as reported by Wunderground—the market's resolution source—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, morning showers, and a cool northerly airflow, per Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and METAR reports showing midday peaks near 12°C before evening drops to 7°C, suppressed warming below initial 14°C forecasts from NOAA models. Historical early-April highs average 14–16°C, but today's synoptic pattern favored restraint. With the day effectively complete, only a rare post hoc data revision could challenge this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$203,671 交易量
$203,671 交易量
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$203,671 交易量
$203,671 交易量
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Observed data from Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 3 reached 12°C, as reported by Wunderground—the market's resolution source—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, morning showers, and a cool northerly airflow, per Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) observations and METAR reports showing midday peaks near 12°C before evening drops to 7°C, suppressed warming below initial 14°C forecasts from NOAA models. Historical early-April highs average 14–16°C, but today's synoptic pattern favored restraint. With the day effectively complete, only a rare post hoc data revision could challenge this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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