**National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport will reach near 67°F today under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15-20 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 50°F or higher.** This positioning aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cold snaps, with surface observations already climbing into the mid-50s by mid-morning and no frontal boundaries expected to interrupt flow. April 8 climatological normals sit at 56°F, providing ample buffer above the threshold. Realistic challenges—a sudden increase in cloud cover, stalled low-pressure system, or erroneous model outlier—remain low probability given synchronized short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with hourly updates available through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$88,235 交易量
$88,235 交易量
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$88,235 交易量
$88,235 交易量
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport will reach near 67°F today under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15-20 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 50°F or higher.** This positioning aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cold snaps, with surface observations already climbing into the mid-50s by mid-morning and no frontal boundaries expected to interrupt flow. April 8 climatological normals sit at 56°F, providing ample buffer above the threshold. Realistic challenges—a sudden increase in cloud cover, stalled low-pressure system, or erroneous model outlier—remain low probability given synchronized short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with hourly updates available through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions