In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special election runoff on April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—making it the most Republican-leaning in Georgia—and his consolidation of the GOP primary vote split among 16 Republicans, where he garnered 35% to Democrat Shawn Harris's 37%. Fuller's endorsements from President Trump, House GOP leadership, Club for Growth, and Governor Kemp bolster his position in this safe Republican seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene. Early voting concluded April 2 with low turnout in counties like Dade (under 850 ballots), signaling base mobilization advantages. Upsets would require unprecedented Democratic surge, scandal, or voting irregularities, though historical special election patterns in deep-red districts favor the Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Clayton Fuller 96.8%
肖恩·哈里斯 3.5%
科爾頓·摩爾 <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,672 交易量
$227,672 交易量
Clayton Fuller
97%
肖恩·哈里斯
4%
科爾頓·摩爾
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
凱蒂·登普西
<1%
傑森·阿納維塔特
<1%
傑夫·克里斯韋爾
<1%
珍妮弗·斯特拉漢
<1%
馬庫斯·弗勞爾斯
<1%
泰勒·保羅·史密斯
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
霍莉·麥考密克
<1%
布萊恩·斯托弗
<1%
約翰·考恩
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
蘿拉·盧默
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
馬丁·蒙塔漢
<1%
馬特·巴頓
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
克拉倫斯·布拉洛克
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
Clayton Fuller 96.8%
肖恩·哈里斯 3.5%
科爾頓·摩爾 <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,672 交易量
$227,672 交易量
Clayton Fuller
97%
肖恩·哈里斯
4%
科爾頓·摩爾
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
凱蒂·登普西
<1%
傑森·阿納維塔特
<1%
傑夫·克里斯韋爾
<1%
珍妮弗·斯特拉漢
<1%
馬庫斯·弗勞爾斯
<1%
泰勒·保羅·史密斯
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
霍莉·麥考密克
<1%
布萊恩·斯托弗
<1%
約翰·考恩
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
蘿拉·盧默
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
馬丁·蒙塔漢
<1%
馬特·巴頓
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
克拉倫斯·布拉洛克
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
市場開放時間: Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special election runoff on April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—making it the most Republican-leaning in Georgia—and his consolidation of the GOP primary vote split among 16 Republicans, where he garnered 35% to Democrat Shawn Harris's 37%. Fuller's endorsements from President Trump, House GOP leadership, Club for Growth, and Governor Kemp bolster his position in this safe Republican seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene. Early voting concluded April 2 with low turnout in counties like Dade (under 850 ballots), signaling base mobilization advantages. Upsets would require unprecedented Democratic surge, scandal, or voting irregularities, though historical special election patterns in deep-red districts favor the Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions