In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean—Cook PVI R+19 and Trump +37 margin in 2024—and his Trump endorsement after advancing from the crowded March 10 special primary where no candidate reached 50%. Democrat Shawn Harris, a retired Army brigadier general who led that primary amid GOP vote fragmentation, trails at 3.9% as Republicans consolidate behind Fuller. Recent developments include a March 23 debate on economy and foreign policy, early voting ending April 2 with steady turnout, and final campaigning; upset scenarios like exceptional Democratic mobilization or a Fuller scandal remain remote given historical base rates in deep-red districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Clayton Fuller 96.6%
肖恩·哈里斯 3.7%
科爾頓·摩爾 <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$230,275 交易量
$230,275 交易量
Clayton Fuller
97%
肖恩·哈里斯
4%
科爾頓·摩爾
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
凱蒂·登普西
<1%
傑森·阿納維塔特
<1%
傑夫·克里斯韋爾
<1%
珍妮弗·斯特拉漢
<1%
馬庫斯·弗勞爾斯
<1%
泰勒·保羅·史密斯
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
霍莉·麥考密克
<1%
布萊恩·斯托弗
<1%
約翰·考恩
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
蘿拉·盧默
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
馬丁·蒙塔漢
<1%
馬特·巴頓
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
克拉倫斯·布拉洛克
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
Clayton Fuller 96.6%
肖恩·哈里斯 3.7%
科爾頓·摩爾 <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$230,275 交易量
$230,275 交易量
Clayton Fuller
97%
肖恩·哈里斯
4%
科爾頓·摩爾
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
凱蒂·登普西
<1%
傑森·阿納維塔特
<1%
傑夫·克里斯韋爾
<1%
珍妮弗·斯特拉漢
<1%
馬庫斯·弗勞爾斯
<1%
泰勒·保羅·史密斯
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
霍莉·麥考密克
<1%
布萊恩·斯托弗
<1%
約翰·考恩
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
蘿拉·盧默
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
馬丁·蒙塔漢
<1%
馬特·巴頓
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
克拉倫斯·布拉洛克
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
市場開放時間: Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean—Cook PVI R+19 and Trump +37 margin in 2024—and his Trump endorsement after advancing from the crowded March 10 special primary where no candidate reached 50%. Democrat Shawn Harris, a retired Army brigadier general who led that primary amid GOP vote fragmentation, trails at 3.9% as Republicans consolidate behind Fuller. Recent developments include a March 23 debate on economy and foreign policy, early voting ending April 2 with steady turnout, and final campaigning; upset scenarios like exceptional Democratic mobilization or a Fuller scandal remain remote given historical base rates in deep-red districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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