Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status in early betting odds for a top-five finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by standout national selection performances, viral previews, and predictive models like "The Model" projecting a win. The completion of national finals across 35 countries in recent weeks—highlighted by France's Monroe, Denmark's strong entry, and Greece's rising momentum—has sharpened trader consensus, with Denmark and France trading at around 12-17% win odds but higher top-five implied probabilities. Israel's televote strength adds upset potential, while semi-final one odds released this week favor Finland. Rehearsals begin soon ahead of semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16, where jury-public splits could reshape standings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$37,074 交易量

Finland
82%

Israel
60%

Denmark
59%

Greece
58%

France
57%

Australia
55%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
36%

Italy
33%

Malta
25%

United Kingdom
14%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Norway
13%

Germany
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Albania
10%

Latvia
10%

San Marino
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Serbia
10%

Lithuania
12%

Romania
43%
$37,074 交易量

Finland
82%

Israel
60%

Denmark
59%

Greece
58%

France
57%

Australia
55%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
36%

Italy
33%

Malta
25%

United Kingdom
14%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Norway
13%

Germany
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Albania
10%

Latvia
10%

San Marino
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Serbia
10%

Lithuania
12%

Romania
43%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status in early betting odds for a top-five finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by standout national selection performances, viral previews, and predictive models like "The Model" projecting a win. The completion of national finals across 35 countries in recent weeks—highlighted by France's Monroe, Denmark's strong entry, and Greece's rising momentum—has sharpened trader consensus, with Denmark and France trading at around 12-17% win odds but higher top-five implied probabilities. Israel's televote strength adds upset potential, while semi-final one odds released this week favor Finland. Rehearsals begin soon ahead of semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16, where jury-public splits could reshape standings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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