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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$33,405 交易量

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$33,405 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$16,999 交易量

83%

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Greece

$1,490 交易量

59%

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Israel

$6,325 交易量

56%

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Denmark

$5,736 交易量

59%

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France

$372 交易量

59%

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Australia

$0 交易量

54%

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Sweden

$0 交易量

41%

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Ukraine

$0 交易量

37%

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Romania

$169 交易量

27%

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Italy

$0 交易量

33%

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Malta

$0 交易量

21%

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Czechia

$0 交易量

18%

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Cyprus

$585 交易量

17%

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Moldova

$18 交易量

15%

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Armenia

$134 交易量

15%

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Croatia

$0 交易量

14%

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Germany

$3 交易量

14%

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Georgia

$0 交易量

13%

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Norway

$407 交易量

12%

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Montenegro

$0 交易量

11%

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Serbia

$151 交易量

11%

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Poland

$0 交易量

11%

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Albania

$0 交易量

10%

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United Kingdom

$0 交易量

10%

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San Marino

$0 交易量

9%

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Luxembourg

$135 交易量

9%

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Latvia

$0 交易量

9%

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Estonia

$0 交易量

8%

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Portugal

$0 交易量

8%

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Azerbaijan

$0 交易量

7%

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Switzerland

$0 交易量

11%

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Belgium

$356 交易量

9%

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Lithuania

$342 交易量

11%

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Bulgaria

$124 交易量

15%

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Austria

$203 交易量

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections accelerating ahead of the May 12-16 Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, Finland leads trader consensus for top 5 finishes via strong implied probabilities on "Liekinheitin," fueled by its recent crowning as favorite in updated predictive models like The Model and bookmaker odds. France and Denmark trail closely, bolstered by jury-friendly entries from recent national finals, while Greece, Sweden, and Israel hold momentum from song previews and historical televote strength. Austria confirmed host entry COSMÓ via pre-selection win last month, and Poland's Alicja secured her spot days ago. Key catalysts include final nationals (e.g., Romania's Selecția Națională), semi-final allocations, and first rehearsals, where staging could spark shifts in this fluid race.

With national selections accelerating ahead of the May 12-16 Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, Finland leads trader consensus for top 5 finishes via strong implied probabilities on "Liekinheitin," fueled by its recent crowning as favorite in updated predictive models like The Model and bookmaker odds. France and Denmark trail closely, bolstered by jury-friendly entries from recent national finals, while Greece, Sweden, and Israel hold momentum from song previews and historical televote strength. Austria confirmed host entry COSMÓ via pre-selection win last month, and Poland's Alicja secured her spot days ago. Key catalysts include final nationals (e.g., Romania's Selecția Națională), semi-final allocations, and first rehearsals, where staging could spark shifts in this fluid race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections accelerating ahead of the May 12-16 Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, Finland leads trader consensus for top 5 finishes via strong implied probabilities on "Liekinheitin," fueled by its recent crowning as favorite in updated predictive models like The Model and bookmaker odds. France and Denmark trail closely, bolstered by jury-friendly entries from recent national finals, while Greece, Sweden, and Israel hold momentum from song previews and historical televote strength. Austria confirmed host entry COSMÓ via pre-selection win last month, and Poland's Alicja secured her spot days ago. Key catalysts include final nationals (e.g., Romania's Selecția Națională), semi-final allocations, and first rehearsals, where staging could spark shifts in this fluid race.

With national selections accelerating ahead of the May 12-16 Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, Finland leads trader consensus for top 5 finishes via strong implied probabilities on "Liekinheitin," fueled by its recent crowning as favorite in updated predictive models like The Model and bookmaker odds. France and Denmark trail closely, bolstered by jury-friendly entries from recent national finals, while Greece, Sweden, and Israel hold momentum from song previews and historical televote strength. Austria confirmed host entry COSMÓ via pre-selection win last month, and Poland's Alicja secured her spot days ago. Key catalysts include final nationals (e.g., Romania's Selecția Națională), semi-final allocations, and first rehearsals, where staging could spark shifts in this fluid race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 83%, followed by "Greece" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $33.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.