政治·獎勵200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？

政治·獎勵200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？

Ended: Mar 23

Mar 30

Apr 1

Ended: Mar 23

Mar 30

Apr 1

90-114 100.0%

少於40 <1%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 23, 2026

少於40

$0 交易量

否

40-64

$0 交易量

否

65-89

$0 交易量

否

90-114

$0 交易量

是

115-139

$0 交易量

否

140-164

$0 交易量

否

165-189

$0 交易量

否

190-214

$0 交易量

否

215-239

$0 交易量

否

240+

$0 交易量

否

90-114 100.0%

少於40 <1%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 23, 2026

少於40

$0 交易量

否

40-64

$0 交易量

否

65-89

$0 交易量

否

90-114

$0 交易量

是

115-139

$0 交易量

否

140-164

$0 交易量

否

165-189

$0 交易量

否

190-214

$0 交易量

否

215-239

$0 交易量

否

240+

$0 交易量

否

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 23, 2026, 7:03 PM UTC

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 23, 2026, 7:03 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "90-114" at 100%, followed by "少於40" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" is "90-114" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "少於40" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "90-114" in the "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "90-114" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？" market has an active community of 8,732 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月21日至3月23日？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.