Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

Apr 1

May 1

Jun 1

Apr 1

May 1

Jun 1

1400-1439 14.9%

1440-1479 8.3%

1360-1399 8.3%

1240-1279 8.1%

Polymarket

$4,355,085 交易量

1400-1439 14.9%

1440-1479 8.3%

1360-1399 8.3%

1240-1279 8.1%

Polymarket

$4,355,085 交易量

少於20

$111,011 交易量

<1%

20-39

$0 交易量

<1%

40-59

$33,059 交易量

<1%

60-79

$0 交易量

<1%

80-99

$0 交易量

<1%

100-119

$20,734 交易量

<1%

120-139

$0 交易量

<1%

140-159

$0 交易量

<1%

160-179

$33,949 交易量

<1%

180-199

$35,722 交易量

<1%

200-219

$0 交易量

<1%

220-239

$0 交易量

<1%

240-259

$39,845 交易量

<1%

260-279

$17,694 交易量

<1%

280-299

$64,419 交易量

<1%

300-319

$25,142 交易量

<1%

320-339

$23,065 交易量

<1%

340-359

$29,843 交易量

<1%

360-379

$30,784 交易量

<1%

380-399

$34,469 交易量

<1%

400-419

$18,449 交易量

<1%

420-439

$14,592 交易量

<1%

440-459

$25,785 交易量

<1%

460-479

$11,185 交易量

<1%

480-499

$18,040 交易量

<1%

500-519

$85,192 交易量

<1%

520-539

$58,628 交易量

<1%

540-559

$55,009 交易量

<1%

560-579

$67,478 交易量

<1%

580-599

$71,903 交易量

<1%

600-619

$58,048 交易量

<1%

620-639

$88,520 交易量

<1%

640-659

$79,287 交易量

<1%

660-679

$119,025 交易量

<1%

680-699

$28,385 交易量

<1%

700-719

$48,761 交易量

<1%

720-739

$37,057 交易量

<1%

740-759

$8,773 交易量

<1%

760-779

$27,834 交易量

<1%

780-799

$33,044 交易量

<1%

800-839

$19,545 交易量

2%

840-879

$20,947 交易量

<1%

880-919

$128,899 交易量

<1%

920-959

$38,613 交易量

2%

960-999

$27,653 交易量

1%

1000-1039

$27,935 交易量

3%

1040-1079

$80,901 交易量

2%

1080-1119

$52,493 交易量

3%

1120-1159

$102,418 交易量

3%

1160-1199

$262,159 交易量

4%

1200-1239

$156,092 交易量

8%

1240-1279

$73,825 交易量

8%

1280-1319

$158,442 交易量

8%

1320-1359

$228,928 交易量

7%

1360-1399

$206,173 交易量

8%

1400-1439

$510,528 交易量

15%

1440-1479

$74,018 交易量

8%

1480-1519

$65,535 交易量

6%

1520-1559

$81,985 交易量

4%

1560-1599

$101,857 交易量

5%

1600-1679

$96,888 交易量

3%

1680-1759

$134,421 交易量

2%

1760-1839

$92,124 交易量

2%

1840-1919

$136,364 交易量

2%

1920-1999

$10,903 交易量

2%

2000條以上

$10,825 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1,300–1,500 tweets for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1,400–1,439 range leading at 15.4% implied probability, reflecting his recent monthly averages of 1,200–1,600 posts amid intense political engagement on X during the 2024 U.S. election cycle. This tight race among top bins—1360–1399 (9.0%) and 1280–1319 (8.8%) close behind—highlights uncertainty over post-election dynamics, including potential moderation if Musk shifts focus to Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or xAI developments, versus sustained high output from viral memes and cultural commentary. No major volume shifts in the past 30 days, but November's election results and 2025 business milestones could catalyze repositioning as traders weigh historical patterns against evolving platform priorities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,355,085
結束日期
May 1, 2026
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1,300–1,500 tweets for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1,400–1,439 range leading at 15.4% implied probability, reflecting his recent monthly averages of 1,200–1,600 posts amid intense political engagement on X during the 2024 U.S. election cycle. This tight race among top bins—1360–1399 (9.0%) and 1280–1319 (8.8%) close behind—highlights uncertainty over post-election dynamics, including potential moderation if Musk shifts focus to Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or xAI developments, versus sustained high output from viral memes and cultural commentary. No major volume shifts in the past 30 days, but November's election results and 2025 business milestones could catalyze repositioning as traders weigh historical patterns against evolving platform priorities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1,300–1,500 tweets for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1,400–1,439 range leading at 15.4% implied probability, reflecting his recent monthly averages of 1,200–1,600 posts amid intense political engagement on X during the 2024 U.S. election cycle. This tight race among top bins—1360–1399 (9.0%) and 1280–1319 (8.8%) close behind—highlights uncertainty over post-election dynamics, including potential moderation if Musk shifts focus to Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or xAI developments, versus sustained high output from viral memes and cultural commentary. No major volume shifts in the past 30 days, but November's election results and 2025 business milestones could catalyze repositioning as traders weigh historical patterns against evolving platform priorities.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400-1439" at 15%, followed by "1200-1239" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is "1400-1439" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1200-1239" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.