Market icon

Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？

Market icon

Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？

是

51% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

51% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Ye's prolonged X silence since his February 9 post promoting "Vultures 2"—marking over 80 days without a tweet—has tempered trader consensus, yet the 65.5% implied probability for a pre-April 30 return stems from his history of erratic, high-volume posting amid controversies and recent Instagram activity, including a now-deleted April 22 account reset declaring it "deleted forever." This online engagement signals persistent cultural relevance and promotional impulses, especially with new music cycles looming. Traders weigh his past resurgences against current quiet, viewing the tight deadline as a catalyst for a potential rant-fueled comeback, though sustained absence could solidify the no outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
交易量
$82
結束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Ye's prolonged X silence since his February 9 post promoting "Vultures 2"—marking over 80 days without a tweet—has tempered trader consensus, yet the 65.5% implied probability for a pre-April 30 return stems from his history of erratic, high-volume posting amid controversies and recent Instagram activity, including a now-deleted April 22 account reset declaring it "deleted forever." This online engagement signals persistent cultural relevance and promotional impulses, especially with new music cycles looming. Traders weigh his past resurgences against current quiet, viewing the tight deadline as a catalyst for a potential rant-fueled comeback, though sustained absence could solidify the no outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
交易量
$82
結束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "肯伊會在4月30日之前再次發推嗎？" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？" is "肯伊會在4月30日之前再次發推嗎？" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kanye會在4月30日之前再次發推文嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.