Trader consensus favors No at 62% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on his Kick live streams by May 1, as the looksmaxxing IRL streamer has navigated intense recent drama—including his March 27 arrest broadcast, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest warrant surrender facing up to 15 years, and April 2 X backlash over rapper income comments—without qualifying tears per market rules requiring clear facial observation during broadcast. Multiple viral clips from March show emotional breakdowns, cortisol spikes over burgers, friendlessness rants, and rejection moments with watery eyes and voice cracks, yet no confirmed tears, reflecting his resilience amid 30-day marathon stream fatigue and constant viewer pressure. With under a month left, heightened volatility tempers upset potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於鎖骨會在2026年5月1日前流下來嗎？
鎖骨會在2026年5月1日前流下來嗎？
$17,698 交易量
$17,698 交易量
2026-05-01
$17,698 交易量
$17,698 交易量
2026-05-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus favors No at 62% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on his Kick live streams by May 1, as the looksmaxxing IRL streamer has navigated intense recent drama—including his March 27 arrest broadcast, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest warrant surrender facing up to 15 years, and April 2 X backlash over rapper income comments—without qualifying tears per market rules requiring clear facial observation during broadcast. Multiple viral clips from March show emotional breakdowns, cortisol spikes over burgers, friendlessness rants, and rejection moments with watery eyes and voice cracks, yet no confirmed tears, reflecting his resilience amid 30-day marathon stream fatigue and constant viewer pressure. With under a month left, heightened volatility tempers upset potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
交易量
$17,698結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus favors No at 62% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on his Kick live streams by May 1, as the looksmaxxing IRL streamer has navigated intense recent drama—including his March 27 arrest broadcast, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest warrant surrender facing up to 15 years, and April 2 X backlash over rapper income comments—without qualifying tears per market rules requiring clear facial observation during broadcast. Multiple viral clips from March show emotional breakdowns, cortisol spikes over burgers, friendlessness rants, and rejection moments with watery eyes and voice cracks, yet no confirmed tears, reflecting his resilience amid 30-day marathon stream fatigue and constant viewer pressure. With under a month left, heightened volatility tempers upset potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
交易量
$17,698結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors No at 62% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on his Kick live streams by May 1, as the looksmaxxing IRL streamer has navigated intense recent drama—including his March 27 arrest broadcast, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest warrant surrender facing up to 15 years, and April 2 X backlash over rapper income comments—without qualifying tears per market rules requiring clear facial observation during broadcast. Multiple viral clips from March show emotional breakdowns, cortisol spikes over burgers, friendlessness rants, and rejection moments with watery eyes and voice cracks, yet no confirmed tears, reflecting his resilience amid 30-day marathon stream fatigue and constant viewer pressure. With under a month left, heightened volatility tempers upset potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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