Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding position in early polls and Connecticut's solid Democratic lean drive trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from mid-February shows Lamont leading challenger Josh Elliott 57%-13% among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 11 primaries, while his net approval holds at +4 despite modest dips. The Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates like Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, with no clear frontrunner emerging in favorability tests. A hypothetical matchup had Lamont up 50%-42% over Stewart. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, a Lamont scandal, or national midterm dynamics shifting voter turnout in this safe blue state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
93%
共和黨
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
93%
共和黨
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding position in early polls and Connecticut's solid Democratic lean drive trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from mid-February shows Lamont leading challenger Josh Elliott 57%-13% among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 11 primaries, while his net approval holds at +4 despite modest dips. The Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates like Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, with no clear frontrunner emerging in favorability tests. A hypothetical matchup had Lamont up 50%-42% over Stewart. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, a Lamont scandal, or national midterm dynamics shifting voter turnout in this safe blue state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding position in early polls and Connecticut's solid Democratic lean drive trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from mid-February shows Lamont leading challenger Josh Elliott 57%-13% among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 11 primaries, while his net approval holds at +4 despite modest dips. The Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates like Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, with no clear frontrunner emerging in favorability tests. A hypothetical matchup had Lamont up 50%-42% over Stewart. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, a Lamont scandal, or national midterm dynamics shifting voter turnout in this safe blue state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding position in early polls and Connecticut's solid Democratic lean drive trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from mid-February shows Lamont leading challenger Josh Elliott 57%-13% among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 11 primaries, while his net approval holds at +4 despite modest dips. The Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates like Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, with no clear frontrunner emerging in favorability tests. A hypothetical matchup had Lamont up 50%-42% over Stewart. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, a Lamont scandal, or national midterm dynamics shifting voter turnout in this safe blue state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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