Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting sticky price pressures after February's 2.9% print from INDEC—stable from January but above the 2.7% median economist forecast. Key drivers include persistent rises in administered prices like utilities and food, compounded by global oil price surges from the Iran conflict, adding an estimated 0.3 percentage points per analysts. This positions the 2.8–3.0% bin at 22.5%, with lower odds on extremes amid Milei's fiscal austerity supporting gradual disinflation toward 24–26% annual by year-end. Watch the mid-April INDEC release for resolution amid reserve accumulation demands from the IMF.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 23%
3.4–3.6% 7.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.4%
$15,510 交易量
$15,510 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.7%
3%
2.8–3.0%
23%
3.1–3.3%
68%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7%+
<1%
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 23%
3.4–3.6% 7.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.4%
$15,510 交易量
$15,510 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
$1,263 交易量
1%
2.2–2.4%
$882 交易量
2%
2.5–2.7%
$1,213 交易量
3%
2.8–3.0%
$1,534 交易量
23%
3.1–3.3%
$4,927 交易量
68%
3.4–3.6%
$2,203 交易量
7%
3.7%+
$3,487 交易量
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting sticky price pressures after February's 2.9% print from INDEC—stable from January but above the 2.7% median economist forecast. Key drivers include persistent rises in administered prices like utilities and food, compounded by global oil price surges from the Iran conflict, adding an estimated 0.3 percentage points per analysts. This positions the 2.8–3.0% bin at 22.5%, with lower odds on extremes amid Milei's fiscal austerity supporting gradual disinflation toward 24–26% annual by year-end. Watch the mid-April INDEC release for resolution amid reserve accumulation demands from the IMF.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
交易量
$15,510結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting sticky price pressures after February's 2.9% print from INDEC—stable from January but above the 2.7% median economist forecast. Key drivers include persistent rises in administered prices like utilities and food, compounded by global oil price surges from the Iran conflict, adding an estimated 0.3 percentage points per analysts. This positions the 2.8–3.0% bin at 22.5%, with lower odds on extremes amid Milei's fiscal austerity supporting gradual disinflation toward 24–26% annual by year-end. Watch the mid-April INDEC release for resolution amid reserve accumulation demands from the IMF.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$15,510結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting sticky price pressures after February's 2.9% print from INDEC—stable from January but above the 2.7% median economist forecast. Key drivers include persistent rises in administered prices like utilities and food, compounded by global oil price surges from the Iran conflict, adding an estimated 0.3 percentage points per analysts. This positions the 2.8–3.0% bin at 22.5%, with lower odds on extremes amid Milei's fiscal austerity supporting gradual disinflation toward 24–26% annual by year-end. Watch the mid-April INDEC release for resolution amid reserve accumulation demands from the IMF.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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