Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 81% implied probability, driven by the company's explosive growth in artificial intelligence capabilities and strategic partnerships. Claude 3.5 Sonnet's recent release in June 2024 topped key benchmarks like GPQA and SWE-bench, surpassing OpenAI's GPT-4o and fueling revenue surges from enterprise API adoption. Amazon's $4 billion investment and ongoing collaboration, alongside Google backing, have propelled private valuations from $18 billion earlier this year toward unprecedented heights amid the AI boom. The 15.5% odds on no IPO by 2027 reflect caution over regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and potential delays in public listings, with traders eyeing Q4 earnings previews and model announcements as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6000億+ 81%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 16%
4,000–6,000 億美元 2.5%
2,000–3,000 億 1.0%
$12,160 交易量
$12,160 交易量
低於 1000 億
1%
100–200億
1%
2,000–3,000 億
1%
3,000–4,000 億
1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
3%
6000億+
81%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
16%
6000億+ 81%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 16%
4,000–6,000 億美元 2.5%
2,000–3,000 億 1.0%
$12,160 交易量
$12,160 交易量
低於 1000 億
1%
100–200億
1%
2,000–3,000 億
1%
3,000–4,000 億
1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
3%
6000億+
81%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
16%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 81% implied probability, driven by the company's explosive growth in artificial intelligence capabilities and strategic partnerships. Claude 3.5 Sonnet's recent release in June 2024 topped key benchmarks like GPQA and SWE-bench, surpassing OpenAI's GPT-4o and fueling revenue surges from enterprise API adoption. Amazon's $4 billion investment and ongoing collaboration, alongside Google backing, have propelled private valuations from $18 billion earlier this year toward unprecedented heights amid the AI boom. The 15.5% odds on no IPO by 2027 reflect caution over regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and potential delays in public listings, with traders eyeing Q4 earnings previews and model announcements as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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