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政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

湯姆·貝吉奇 25%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 14%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆 10%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,409 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇 25%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 14%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆 10%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,409 交易量

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湯姆·貝吉奇

$93,868 交易量

25%

Market icon

伯納黛特·威爾遜

$129,227 交易量

14%

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南希·達爾斯特羅姆

$91,980 交易量

10%

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埃德娜·德弗里斯

$0 交易量

7%

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特雷格·泰勒

$0 交易量

10%

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麗莎·穆爾科斯基

$2,173 交易量

5%

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詹姆斯·帕金

$0 交易量

5%

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雪莉·休斯

$0 交易量

5%

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大衛·布朗森

$2,133 交易量

4%

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瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$0 交易量

3%

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Click Bishop

$0 交易量

2%

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馬特·赫伊拉拉

$23,375 交易量

1%

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亞當·克拉姆

$31,654 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 25%, followed by "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " has generated $374.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.