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Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Market icon

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$176,495 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$176,495 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded.

The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count.

An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$176,495
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded.

The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count.

An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$176,495
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $176.5K с момента запуска рынка Nov 8, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.