Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September alongside a foldable iPhone model, upholding Apple's 19-year streak of annual fall flagship unveilings. Recent March 2026 roadmap disclosures from outlets like MacRumors and 9to5Mac emphasize this timeline, with fresh details on 2nm A20 Pro chips and C2 5G modems bolstering expectations amid competitive pressures from Samsung and Google Pixel advances. While strong historical precedent supports the odds, realistic challenges include rumored delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, potential semiconductor shortages, or strategic pivots like rebranding for the 20th anniversary in 2027—watch WWDC in June for software previews and supply filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Будет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Да
$81,354 Объем
$81,354 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$81,354 Объем
$81,354 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September alongside a foldable iPhone model, upholding Apple's 19-year streak of annual fall flagship unveilings. Recent March 2026 roadmap disclosures from outlets like MacRumors and 9to5Mac emphasize this timeline, with fresh details on 2nm A20 Pro chips and C2 5G modems bolstering expectations amid competitive pressures from Samsung and Google Pixel advances. While strong historical precedent supports the odds, realistic challenges include rumored delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, potential semiconductor shortages, or strategic pivots like rebranding for the 20th anniversary in 2027—watch WWDC in June for software previews and supply filings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Объем
$81,354Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September alongside a foldable iPhone model, upholding Apple's 19-year streak of annual fall flagship unveilings. Recent March 2026 roadmap disclosures from outlets like MacRumors and 9to5Mac emphasize this timeline, with fresh details on 2nm A20 Pro chips and C2 5G modems bolstering expectations amid competitive pressures from Samsung and Google Pixel advances. While strong historical precedent supports the odds, realistic challenges include rumored delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, potential semiconductor shortages, or strategic pivots like rebranding for the 20th anniversary in 2027—watch WWDC in June for software previews and supply filings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,354Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September alongside a foldable iPhone model, upholding Apple's 19-year streak of annual fall flagship unveilings. Recent March 2026 roadmap disclosures from outlets like MacRumors and 9to5Mac emphasize this timeline, with fresh details on 2nm A20 Pro chips and C2 5G modems bolstering expectations amid competitive pressures from Samsung and Google Pixel advances. While strong historical precedent supports the odds, realistic challenges include rumored delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, potential semiconductor shortages, or strategic pivots like rebranding for the 20th anniversary in 2027—watch WWDC in June for software previews and supply filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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