Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities to high-profile names like Richard Branson at 13%, Steve Bannon and Woody Allen at 12%, and Steven Tisch at 10% for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, reflecting strict resolution criteria requiring court records or sworn testimony amid the U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of millions of files—including island flight manifests—that verified visits by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick in 2012 and others like inventor Dean Kamen, but none for market leaders. A March 27 Bloomberg report on a Bill Gates adviser's Epstein ties added scrutiny without new island confirmations, while ongoing file analysis under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act and potential Data Set 13 disclosures by late April could shift odds before the June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$736,397 Объем
Ричард Брэнсон
13%
Вуди Аллен
12%
Стив Бэннон
11%
Стивен Тиш
10%
Дипак Чопра
10%
Кевин Спейси
9%
Ноам Хомский
9%
Харви Вайнштейн
9%
Билл Гейтс
8%
Билл Клинтон
8%
Джей-Зи
5%
Дональд Трамп
5%
Билл Косби
5%
Илон Маск
4%
Майкл Джексон
4%
Питер Аттия
3%
Хиллари Клинтон
3%
Марко Рубио
1%
$736,397 Объем
Ричард Брэнсон
13%
Вуди Аллен
12%
Стив Бэннон
11%
Стивен Тиш
10%
Дипак Чопра
10%
Кевин Спейси
9%
Ноам Хомский
9%
Харви Вайнштейн
9%
Билл Гейтс
8%
Билл Клинтон
8%
Джей-Зи
5%
Дональд Трамп
5%
Билл Косби
5%
Илон Маск
4%
Майкл Джексон
4%
Питер Аттия
3%
Хиллари Клинтон
3%
Марко Рубио
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities to high-profile names like Richard Branson at 13%, Steve Bannon and Woody Allen at 12%, and Steven Tisch at 10% for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, reflecting strict resolution criteria requiring court records or sworn testimony amid the U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of millions of files—including island flight manifests—that verified visits by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick in 2012 and others like inventor Dean Kamen, but none for market leaders. A March 27 Bloomberg report on a Bill Gates adviser's Epstein ties added scrutiny without new island confirmations, while ongoing file analysis under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act and potential Data Set 13 disclosures by late April could shift odds before the June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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