Trader consensus favors 160-179 White House Twitter posts during March 17-24, 2026, at 32% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome that will define the administration's social media activity well into its term. Historical Biden administration averages hover around 15-25 daily posts on @WhiteHouse during routine weeks, per public archives, while traders weigh potential shifts under a new president based on past tenures—Trump's era featured higher volumes amid rapid announcements. Tight clustering with 180-199 at 26.5% stems from stable recent polling and absent major catalysts; 2024 debates or campaign endorsements could widen spreads by clarifying communication styles. Markets highlight this as crowd wisdom amid election volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhite House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
White House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
160-179 32.0%
180-199 27%
140-159 19%
200+ 16%
$66,510 Объем
$66,510 Объем
120-139
2%
140-159
19%
160-179
32%
180-199
27%
200+
16%
160-179 32.0%
180-199 27%
140-159 19%
200+ 16%
$66,510 Объем
$66,510 Объем
120-139
2%
140-159
19%
160-179
32%
180-199
27%
200+
16%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 160-179 White House Twitter posts during March 17-24, 2026, at 32% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome that will define the administration's social media activity well into its term. Historical Biden administration averages hover around 15-25 daily posts on @WhiteHouse during routine weeks, per public archives, while traders weigh potential shifts under a new president based on past tenures—Trump's era featured higher volumes amid rapid announcements. Tight clustering with 180-199 at 26.5% stems from stable recent polling and absent major catalysts; 2024 debates or campaign endorsements could widen spreads by clarifying communication styles. Markets highlight this as crowd wisdom amid election volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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