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Политика·Выборы в США

When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?

Market icon
Политика·Выборы в США

When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?

9–10 PM 100.0%

Before 9 PM <1%

10–11 PM <1%

11 PM–12 AM <1%

Polymarket

$51,934 Объем

9–10 PM 100.0%

Before 9 PM <1%

10–11 PM <1%

11 PM–12 AM <1%

Polymarket

$51,934 Объем

Before 9 PM

$25,655 Объем

No

9–10 PM

$10,528 Объем

Yes

10–11 PM

$2,056 Объем

No

11 PM–12 AM

$3,043 Объем

No

12–1 AM

$2,223 Объем

No

1–2 AM

$2,921 Объем

No

2–3 AM

$2,448 Объем

No

3 AM or later

$3,059 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025. A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025.

A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).

The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.

Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.

If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Объем
$51,934
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025. A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025. A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025.

A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).

The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.

Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.

If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Объем
$51,934
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the time on (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, held on November 4, 2025. A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «9–10 PM» с 100%, за ним следует «Before 9 PM» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $51.9K с момента запуска рынка Oct 29, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?» — «9–10 PM» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Before 9 PM» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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