Trump traders are pricing in a high likelihood of commentary on his ongoing legal battles, with odds favoring statements about the New York hush money case after a judge set a April 15 trial date this week, confirmed via court filings. Recent Truth Social posts and Fox News interviews show Trump decrying "weaponized" prosecutions and election interference, aligning with historical patterns from his Georgia and federal cases. Sentiment reflects trader consensus on his consistent rhetoric amid escalating pretrial motions, while uncertainty lingers over potential campaign trail remarks before the March 25 NRA event. Markets imply 60-70% odds on trial-related barbs, per current pricing, as no major policy shifts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$127,765 Объем
Armada
15%
Nancy / Pelosi
13%
Finish the Job
12%
Khamenei
11%
No Inflation
10%
What's Up
10%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
Doug / Burgum
9%
Cure to Cancer
7%
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Egghead
7%
Democrat Shutdown
6%
Affair
4%
Migrant Crime
2%
$127,765 Объем
Armada
15%
Nancy / Pelosi
13%
Finish the Job
12%
Khamenei
11%
No Inflation
10%
What's Up
10%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
Doug / Burgum
9%
Cure to Cancer
7%
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Egghead
7%
Democrat Shutdown
6%
Affair
4%
Migrant Crime
2%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump traders are pricing in a high likelihood of commentary on his ongoing legal battles, with odds favoring statements about the New York hush money case after a judge set a April 15 trial date this week, confirmed via court filings. Recent Truth Social posts and Fox News interviews show Trump decrying "weaponized" prosecutions and election interference, aligning with historical patterns from his Georgia and federal cases. Sentiment reflects trader consensus on his consistent rhetoric amid escalating pretrial motions, while uncertainty lingers over potential campaign trail remarks before the March 25 NRA event. Markets imply 60-70% odds on trial-related barbs, per current pricing, as no major policy shifts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы