Amid escalating US-Iran confrontations in the Persian Gulf, Kharg Island—handling 90% of Iran's crude oil exports—faces heightened risks after US airstrikes mid-March 2026 targeted military sites like air defenses, naval bases, and the power plant while sparing oil infrastructure, per official statements and satellite imagery. Iran has since fortified the terminal with mines and defenses against potential US ground seizure by Marines and special forces, as President Trump weighs operations to force reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Thermal anomalies detected March 22 raised strike concerns, but no verified hit on the oil facilities occurred. Traders eye any kinetic action on the terminal before the March 31 deadline amid de-escalation signals or further airstrikes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$683,603 Объем

31 марта
7%

30 апреля
31%
$683,603 Объем

31 марта
7%

30 апреля
31%
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran confrontations in the Persian Gulf, Kharg Island—handling 90% of Iran's crude oil exports—faces heightened risks after US airstrikes mid-March 2026 targeted military sites like air defenses, naval bases, and the power plant while sparing oil infrastructure, per official statements and satellite imagery. Iran has since fortified the terminal with mines and defenses against potential US ground seizure by Marines and special forces, as President Trump weighs operations to force reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Thermal anomalies detected March 22 raised strike concerns, but no verified hit on the oil facilities occurred. Traders eye any kinetic action on the terminal before the March 31 deadline amid de-escalation signals or further airstrikes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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