Trader consensus on Polymarket for Trump's statements during the March 22 week hinges on his daily Truth Social activity and campaign schedule, with highest implied probabilities on references to legal battles and election fraud claims, mirroring patterns from prior weeks. Recent catalysts include his March 20 posts attacking Judge Merchan ahead of hush money trial and March 21 fundraiser remarks on border policy, shifting odds toward judicial criticism options. An upcoming rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on March 26 raises potential for economy-focused soundbites, as traders weigh historical speech transcripts against real-time posting. Odds capture crowd wisdom but underscore volatility from unscheduled announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$119,943 Объем
Too Big to Rig
27%
Affair
18%
No Inflation
9%
What's Up
13%
Democrat Shutdown
11%
Khamenei
11%
Nancy / Pelosi
18%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
Doug / Burgum
8%
Crypto / Bitcoin
8%
Finish the Job
14%
Migrant Crime
7%
Armada
10%
Egghead
6%
Cure to Cancer
5%
$119,943 Объем
Too Big to Rig
27%
Affair
18%
No Inflation
9%
What's Up
13%
Democrat Shutdown
11%
Khamenei
11%
Nancy / Pelosi
18%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
Doug / Burgum
8%
Crypto / Bitcoin
8%
Finish the Job
14%
Migrant Crime
7%
Armada
10%
Egghead
6%
Cure to Cancer
5%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Trump's statements during the March 22 week hinges on his daily Truth Social activity and campaign schedule, with highest implied probabilities on references to legal battles and election fraud claims, mirroring patterns from prior weeks. Recent catalysts include his March 20 posts attacking Judge Merchan ahead of hush money trial and March 21 fundraiser remarks on border policy, shifting odds toward judicial criticism options. An upcoming rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on March 26 raises potential for economy-focused soundbites, as traders weigh historical speech transcripts against real-time posting. Odds capture crowd wisdom but underscore volatility from unscheduled announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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