Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging dozens of posts daily on campaign momentum, legal challenges, and critics like Biden or judges, drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for election-related or attack-themed content during March 16-22. Recent catalysts include his unchallenged Florida GOP primary on March 19—offering victory lap potential—and escalating Manhattan hush money case pretrial motions, plus federal funding bill tensions. Traders weigh his pattern of amplifying primary wins and grievances, with implied odds reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on familiar motifs over novel topics. Upcoming resolution of congressional spending votes could spur fiscal rants, though post volume remains unpredictable amid his packed rally schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$68,290 Объем
Ass
11%
Lawsuit
12%
Illinois
13%
Epic Fury
24%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
19%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
15%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
30%
Filibuster
16%
Stupid
50%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
7%
Hamas / Hezbollah
13%
Too Big to Rig
17%
Democrat Shutdown
17%
Mamdani
18%
Texas
12%
Son
19%
Cornyn
10%
Jake Paul
5%
$68,290 Объем
Ass
11%
Lawsuit
12%
Illinois
13%
Epic Fury
24%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
19%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
15%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
30%
Filibuster
16%
Stupid
50%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
7%
Hamas / Hezbollah
13%
Too Big to Rig
17%
Democrat Shutdown
17%
Mamdani
18%
Texas
12%
Son
19%
Cornyn
10%
Jake Paul
5%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging dozens of posts daily on campaign momentum, legal challenges, and critics like Biden or judges, drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for election-related or attack-themed content during March 16-22. Recent catalysts include his unchallenged Florida GOP primary on March 19—offering victory lap potential—and escalating Manhattan hush money case pretrial motions, plus federal funding bill tensions. Traders weigh his pattern of amplifying primary wins and grievances, with implied odds reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on familiar motifs over novel topics. Upcoming resolution of congressional spending votes could spur fiscal rants, though post volume remains unpredictable amid his packed rally schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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