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Технологии·IPOS

Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?

Market icon
Технологии·IPOS

Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?

1,50-1,75 трлн 32%

1,75–2,00 трлн 31%

2,00–2,25 трлн 14%

1,25–1,50 трлн 8.9%

Polymarket

$91,002 Объем

1,50-1,75 трлн 32%

1,75–2,00 трлн 31%

2,00–2,25 трлн 14%

1,25–1,50 трлн 8.9%

Polymarket

$91,002 Объем

<1,25 трлн

$54,069 Объем

5%

1,25–1,50 трлн

$9,459 Объем

9%

1,50-1,75 трлн

$5,190 Объем

32%

1,75–2,00 трлн

$4,620 Объем

31%

2,00–2,25 трлн

$3,768 Объем

14%

2,25–2,50 трлн

$6,866 Объем

9%

2,50T+

$7,030 Объем

6%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has concentrated trader consensus around the 1.50-2.00T valuation range, with market-implied odds nearly split at 32% for 1.50-1.75T and 31% for 1.75-2.00T, reflecting a targeted $1.75T headline figure amid buoyant Starlink revenue growth to $15-16B in FY25 and projected $22-24B in FY26. This closely contested positioning stems from competitive dynamics, including SpaceX's launch dominance, Starship milestones, and unmatched satellite constellation scale versus rivals like Rocket Lab ($40B market cap), balanced against execution risks, macroeconomic volatility, and a perceived Musk premium akin to Tesla's. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on profitability margins and regulatory approvals, with resolution hinging on investor appetite for the largest IPO ever.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,002
Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has concentrated trader consensus around the 1.50-2.00T valuation range, with market-implied odds nearly split at 32% for 1.50-1.75T and 31% for 1.75-2.00T, reflecting a targeted $1.75T headline figure amid buoyant Starlink revenue growth to $15-16B in FY25 and projected $22-24B in FY26. This closely contested positioning stems from competitive dynamics, including SpaceX's launch dominance, Starship milestones, and unmatched satellite constellation scale versus rivals like Rocket Lab ($40B market cap), balanced against execution risks, macroeconomic volatility, and a perceived Musk premium akin to Tesla's. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on profitability margins and regulatory approvals, with resolution hinging on investor appetite for the largest IPO ever.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,002
Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «1,50-1,75 трлн» с 32%, за ним следует «1,75–2,00 трлн» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $91K с момента запуска рынка Mar 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» — «1,50-1,75 трлн» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1,75–2,00 трлн» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.