US federal prosecutors in New York launched an investigation on March 20 into alleged ties between Colombian President Gustavo Petro and drug traffickers, naming him a DEA priority target amid Trump's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, reigniting strains from January threats following the US intervention in Venezuela. Earlier this month, US-supported Ecuadorian strikes on narco-terrorists along the Colombia-Ecuador border resulted in ordnance landing inside Colombia on March 3, hitting a farm and drawing Petro's public rebuke, though no direct US military action on Colombian soil occurred. Building on a February US-Colombia pact to target narco bosses, these developments sustain trader caution on escalation risks, with no confirmed strikes and potential for diplomatic talks or border incidents to influence near-term outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,486,813 Объем
Jan 31, 2026
31 марта
<1%
31 декабря
22%
$1,486,813 Объем
31 марта
$400,606 Объем
<1%
31 декабря
$417,868 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US federal prosecutors in New York launched an investigation on March 20 into alleged ties between Colombian President Gustavo Petro and drug traffickers, naming him a DEA priority target amid Trump's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, reigniting strains from January threats following the US intervention in Venezuela. Earlier this month, US-supported Ecuadorian strikes on narco-terrorists along the Colombia-Ecuador border resulted in ordnance landing inside Colombia on March 3, hitting a farm and drawing Petro's public rebuke, though no direct US military action on Colombian soil occurred. Building on a February US-Colombia pact to target narco bosses, these developments sustain trader caution on escalation risks, with no confirmed strikes and potential for diplomatic talks or border incidents to influence near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Объем
$1,486,813Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US federal prosecutors in New York launched an investigation on March 20 into alleged ties between Colombian President Gustavo Petro and drug traffickers, naming him a DEA priority target amid Trump's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, reigniting strains from January threats following the US intervention in Venezuela. Earlier this month, US-supported Ecuadorian strikes on narco-terrorists along the Colombia-Ecuador border resulted in ordnance landing inside Colombia on March 3, hitting a farm and drawing Petro's public rebuke, though no direct US military action on Colombian soil occurred. Building on a February US-Colombia pact to target narco bosses, these developments sustain trader caution on escalation risks, with no confirmed strikes and potential for diplomatic talks or border incidents to influence near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$1,486,813Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors in New York launched an investigation on March 20 into alleged ties between Colombian President Gustavo Petro and drug traffickers, naming him a DEA priority target amid Trump's aggressive anti-cartel campaign, reigniting strains from January threats following the US intervention in Venezuela. Earlier this month, US-supported Ecuadorian strikes on narco-terrorists along the Colombia-Ecuador border resulted in ordnance landing inside Colombia on March 3, hitting a farm and drawing Petro's public rebuke, though no direct US military action on Colombian soil occurred. Building on a February US-Colombia pact to target narco bosses, these developments sustain trader caution on escalation risks, with no confirmed strikes and potential for diplomatic talks or border incidents to influence near-term outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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