US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve, marking the initial market-triggering entry amid escalating tensions over disputed elections, oil sanctions, and regional instability. Trader sentiment now centers on the risk of repeat entries during the fragile transition to an interim government led by figures like Delcy Rodríguez, following threats from Diosdado Cabello and armed colectivos. On March 14, President Trump directed a direct military oversight component, integrating Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth into coordination channels to enforce security reforms and monitor Venezuelan high command. No confirmed re-entries have occurred since January, but ongoing chaos from criminal groups and political negotiations could prompt further action before June deadlines, reflecting uncertain US foreign policy postures in Latin America.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,257,043 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 марта
1%
30 июня
14%
$1,257,043 Объем
31 марта
$3,486 Объем
1%
30 июня
$173,468 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve, marking the initial market-triggering entry amid escalating tensions over disputed elections, oil sanctions, and regional instability. Trader sentiment now centers on the risk of repeat entries during the fragile transition to an interim government led by figures like Delcy Rodríguez, following threats from Diosdado Cabello and armed colectivos. On March 14, President Trump directed a direct military oversight component, integrating Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth into coordination channels to enforce security reforms and monitor Venezuelan high command. No confirmed re-entries have occurred since January, but ongoing chaos from criminal groups and political negotiations could prompt further action before June deadlines, reflecting uncertain US foreign policy postures in Latin America.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Объем
$1,257,043Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve, marking the initial market-triggering entry amid escalating tensions over disputed elections, oil sanctions, and regional instability. Trader sentiment now centers on the risk of repeat entries during the fragile transition to an interim government led by figures like Delcy Rodríguez, following threats from Diosdado Cabello and armed colectivos. On March 14, President Trump directed a direct military oversight component, integrating Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth into coordination channels to enforce security reforms and monitor Venezuelan high command. No confirmed re-entries have occurred since January, but ongoing chaos from criminal groups and political negotiations could prompt further action before June deadlines, reflecting uncertain US foreign policy postures in Latin America.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,257,043Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve, marking the initial market-triggering entry amid escalating tensions over disputed elections, oil sanctions, and regional instability. Trader sentiment now centers on the risk of repeat entries during the fragile transition to an interim government led by figures like Delcy Rodríguez, following threats from Diosdado Cabello and armed colectivos. On March 14, President Trump directed a direct military oversight component, integrating Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth into coordination channels to enforce security reforms and monitor Venezuelan high command. No confirmed re-entries have occurred since January, but ongoing chaos from criminal groups and political negotiations could prompt further action before June deadlines, reflecting uncertain US foreign policy postures in Latin America.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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