Ongoing Russian advances in Donbas, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk, and Ukraine's stalled Kursk incursion have reinforced a military stalemate, with no verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs toward peace talks in the past 30 days. President Zelenskyy's insistence on full Russian withdrawal and NATO membership path clashes with Putin's demands for territorial recognition and demilitarization, sidelining any referendum prospects. Recent escalations, such as North Korea's troop deployment to Russia and massive Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, signal entrenchment rather than de-escalation. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects these irreconcilable positions and uncertain U.S. aid post-November election, viewing structural barriers as unlikely to yield a peace referendum before 2027 absent major geopolitical shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРеферендум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Референдум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Russian advances in Donbas, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk, and Ukraine's stalled Kursk incursion have reinforced a military stalemate, with no verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs toward peace talks in the past 30 days. President Zelenskyy's insistence on full Russian withdrawal and NATO membership path clashes with Putin's demands for territorial recognition and demilitarization, sidelining any referendum prospects. Recent escalations, such as North Korea's troop deployment to Russia and massive Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, signal entrenchment rather than de-escalation. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects these irreconcilable positions and uncertain U.S. aid post-November election, viewing structural barriers as unlikely to yield a peace referendum before 2027 absent major geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$8,909Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Russian advances in Donbas, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk, and Ukraine's stalled Kursk incursion have reinforced a military stalemate, with no verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs toward peace talks in the past 30 days. President Zelenskyy's insistence on full Russian withdrawal and NATO membership path clashes with Putin's demands for territorial recognition and demilitarization, sidelining any referendum prospects. Recent escalations, such as North Korea's troop deployment to Russia and massive Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, signal entrenchment rather than de-escalation. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects these irreconcilable positions and uncertain U.S. aid post-November election, viewing structural barriers as unlikely to yield a peace referendum before 2027 absent major geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,909Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian advances in Donbas, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk, and Ukraine's stalled Kursk incursion have reinforced a military stalemate, with no verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs toward peace talks in the past 30 days. President Zelenskyy's insistence on full Russian withdrawal and NATO membership path clashes with Putin's demands for territorial recognition and demilitarization, sidelining any referendum prospects. Recent escalations, such as North Korea's troop deployment to Russia and massive Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, signal entrenchment rather than de-escalation. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects these irreconcilable positions and uncertain U.S. aid post-November election, viewing structural barriers as unlikely to yield a peace referendum before 2027 absent major geopolitical shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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