Market icon
Геополитика·Трамп

Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?

Market icon
Геополитика·Трамп

Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?

$221,913 Объем

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$221,913 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$18,579 Объем

2%

30 июня

$57,992 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled Russo-Ukrainian war peace talks and ongoing martial law, which constitutionally bars elections or referendums until after a ceasefire. February 2026 reports of President Zelenskyy announcing plans tied to presidential elections on the invasion's fourth anniversary were denied, with NGOs deeming the idea unlawful without security guarantees. Ukraine's Central Election Commission insists on at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations. A March KIIS poll showed 50% public support for a peace deal referendum involving potential territorial compromises, but no official scheduling has occurred despite US pressure for a framework. Upcoming diplomatic developments or escalation could shift dynamics before mid-2026 deadlines.

Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled Russo-Ukrainian war peace talks and ongoing martial law, which constitutionally bars elections or referendums until after a ceasefire. February 2026 reports of President Zelenskyy announcing plans tied to presidential elections on the invasion's fourth anniversary were denied, with NGOs deeming the idea unlawful without security guarantees. Ukraine's Central Election Commission insists on at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations. A March KIIS poll showed 50% public support for a peace deal referendum involving potential territorial compromises, but no official scheduling has occurred despite US pressure for a framework. Upcoming diplomatic developments or escalation could shift dynamics before mid-2026 deadlines.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled Russo-Ukrainian war peace talks and ongoing martial law, which constitutionally bars elections or referendums until after a ceasefire. February 2026 reports of President Zelenskyy announcing plans tied to presidential elections on the invasion's fourth anniversary were denied, with NGOs deeming the idea unlawful without security guarantees. Ukraine's Central Election Commission insists on at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations. A March KIIS poll showed 50% public support for a peace deal referendum involving potential territorial compromises, but no official scheduling has occurred despite US pressure for a framework. Upcoming diplomatic developments or escalation could shift dynamics before mid-2026 deadlines.

Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled Russo-Ukrainian war peace talks and ongoing martial law, which constitutionally bars elections or referendums until after a ceasefire. February 2026 reports of President Zelenskyy announcing plans tied to presidential elections on the invasion's fourth anniversary were denied, with NGOs deeming the idea unlawful without security guarantees. Ukraine's Central Election Commission insists on at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations. A March KIIS poll showed 50% public support for a peace deal referendum involving potential territorial compromises, but no official scheduling has occurred despite US pressure for a framework. Upcoming diplomatic developments or escalation could shift dynamics before mid-2026 deadlines.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня» с 11%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $221.9K с момента запуска рынка Dec 26, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?» — «30 июня» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Референдум о мире в Украине, назначенный...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.