Trader consensus in the Terrebonne by-election market prices Bloc Québécois candidate Tatiana Auguste as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability, ahead of Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 41%, driven by recent Léger and Forum Research polls showing Auguste leading 42%-38% among decided voters in this Quebec riding. Auguste's edge stems from strong francophone support and Bloc momentum on provincial autonomy issues, amplified by a campaign rally last weekend drawing record crowds. Sinclair-Desgagné has closed the gap via Pierre Poilievre's targeted Quebec outreach and attacks on Liberal economic record, positioning her as a viable challenger in a tight race. Negligible support for Maxime Beaudoin, Maria Cantore, Adrienne Charles, and Benjamin Rankin reflects their limited visibility. With voting on November 25, turnout among sovereignist voters could prove decisive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTerrebone By-Election Winner
Terrebone By-Election Winner
Татьяна Огюст 60%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 41%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
$30,422 Объем
$30,422 Объем

Татьяна Огюст
60%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
41%

Maxime Beaudoin
<1%

Maria Cantore
<1%

Adrienne Charles
<1%

Benjamin Rankin
<1%
Татьяна Огюст 60%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 41%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
$30,422 Объем
$30,422 Объем

Татьяна Огюст
60%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
41%

Maxime Beaudoin
<1%

Maria Cantore
<1%

Adrienne Charles
<1%

Benjamin Rankin
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Terrebonne by-election market prices Bloc Québécois candidate Tatiana Auguste as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability, ahead of Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 41%, driven by recent Léger and Forum Research polls showing Auguste leading 42%-38% among decided voters in this Quebec riding. Auguste's edge stems from strong francophone support and Bloc momentum on provincial autonomy issues, amplified by a campaign rally last weekend drawing record crowds. Sinclair-Desgagné has closed the gap via Pierre Poilievre's targeted Quebec outreach and attacks on Liberal economic record, positioning her as a viable challenger in a tight race. Negligible support for Maxime Beaudoin, Maria Cantore, Adrienne Charles, and Benjamin Rankin reflects their limited visibility. With voting on November 25, turnout among sovereignist voters could prove decisive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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