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State wide recount in Presidential Election?

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State wide recount in Presidential Election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,408 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,408 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify.

Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities.

If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".
Объем
$25,408
Дата окончания
Dec 17, 2024
Открытие рынка
Nov 1, 2024, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify. Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities. If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify.

Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities.

If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".
Объем
$25,408
Дата окончания
Dec 17, 2024
Открытие рынка
Nov 1, 2024, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify. Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities. If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«State wide recount in Presidential Election? » — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 0% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 0¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «State wide recount in Presidential Election? » сгенерировал общий объём торгов $25.4K с момента запуска рынка Nov 1, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «State wide recount in Presidential Election? », просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «State wide recount in Presidential Election? » составляет 0% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «State wide recount in Presidential Election? » точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.