Fact-checks from multiple outlets have swiftly debunked viral videos purporting to show Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's capture at a military base as manipulated footage, likely AI-generated or recycled clips, propelling "No" odds to 99.4% as traders dismiss staging claims amid zero corroboration from official sources or international observers. Maduro's recent public appearances and regime statements labeling it disinformation reinforce this consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing low-probability hoaxes during Venezuela's post-election tensions. Realistic shifts could stem from newly verified evidence or opposition breakthroughs, though current facts indicate negligible risk of reversal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$919,186 Объем
$919,186 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$919,186 Объем
$919,186 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Объем
$919,186Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$919,186Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fact-checks from multiple outlets have swiftly debunked viral videos purporting to show Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's capture at a military base as manipulated footage, likely AI-generated or recycled clips, propelling "No" odds to 99.4% as traders dismiss staging claims amid zero corroboration from official sources or international observers. Maduro's recent public appearances and regime statements labeling it disinformation reinforce this consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing low-probability hoaxes during Venezuela's post-election tensions. Realistic shifts could stem from newly verified evidence or opposition breakthroughs, though current facts indicate negligible risk of reversal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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