AfD commands a commanding lead in trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's proportional representation Landtag election, expected by mid-2026, driven by consistent polling dominance reflecting eastern Germany's entrenched voter discontent with migration, economic stagnation, and the CDU-SPD-Greens coalition's unpopularity. Recent INSA and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen surveys through late October 2024 show AfD at 32-36%, far ahead of CDU's 23-27%, with no major shifts in the past month despite national debates on asylum policy. BSW's rise to 12-14% has stalled locally, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left languish below 10%, underscoring AfD's structural edge absent scandals or snap election calls. Upcoming polls and campaign momentum could influence, but current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting heavily on AfD's path to plurality.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
АдГ 90%
ХДС 8.8%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$502,809 Объем
$502,809 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
90%
ХДС
9%
СДПГ
1%
Левая партия
<1%
BSW
<1%
СвДП
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
АдГ 90%
ХДС 8.8%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$502,809 Объем
$502,809 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
$4,801 Объем
90%
ХДС
$461,754 Объем
9%
СДПГ
$23,692 Объем
1%
Левая партия
$1,861 Объем
<1%
BSW
$2,340 Объем
<1%
СвДП
$5,862 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$2,499 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD commands a commanding lead in trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's proportional representation Landtag election, expected by mid-2026, driven by consistent polling dominance reflecting eastern Germany's entrenched voter discontent with migration, economic stagnation, and the CDU-SPD-Greens coalition's unpopularity. Recent INSA and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen surveys through late October 2024 show AfD at 32-36%, far ahead of CDU's 23-27%, with no major shifts in the past month despite national debates on asylum policy. BSW's rise to 12-14% has stalled locally, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left languish below 10%, underscoring AfD's structural edge absent scandals or snap election calls. Upcoming polls and campaign momentum could influence, but current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting heavily on AfD's path to plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$502,809Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD commands a commanding lead in trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's proportional representation Landtag election, expected by mid-2026, driven by consistent polling dominance reflecting eastern Germany's entrenched voter discontent with migration, economic stagnation, and the CDU-SPD-Greens coalition's unpopularity. Recent INSA and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen surveys through late October 2024 show AfD at 32-36%, far ahead of CDU's 23-27%, with no major shifts in the past month despite national debates on asylum policy. BSW's rise to 12-14% has stalled locally, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left languish below 10%, underscoring AfD's structural edge absent scandals or snap election calls. Upcoming polls and campaign momentum could influence, but current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting heavily on AfD's path to plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$502,809Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD commands a commanding lead in trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's proportional representation Landtag election, expected by mid-2026, driven by consistent polling dominance reflecting eastern Germany's entrenched voter discontent with migration, economic stagnation, and the CDU-SPD-Greens coalition's unpopularity. Recent INSA and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen surveys through late October 2024 show AfD at 32-36%, far ahead of CDU's 23-27%, with no major shifts in the past month despite national debates on asylum policy. BSW's rise to 12-14% has stalled locally, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left languish below 10%, underscoring AfD's structural edge absent scandals or snap election calls. Upcoming polls and campaign momentum could influence, but current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting heavily on AfD's path to plurality.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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