Recent polling averages in battleground races have shifted toward Democrats in several Republican-held or open Senate seats, including North Carolina (open, Tillis retiring), Michigan (open, Peters retiring), Ohio (special), Georgia, and Maine (Collins), fueling trader consensus for a tight outcome clustered at 47-50 Republican seats after the November 2026 midterms. Republicans defend 22 seats overall—mostly in safe territory—but face potential net losses of 3-6 amid a generic ballot favoring Democrats by 6-7 points nationally. Cook Political Report rates only six races competitive as of January, yet prediction markets diverge, highlighting uncertainty from open seats and early surveys. Upcoming primaries, presidential approval trends, and turnout in swing states could tip the balance for majority control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено51 seats
≤47 26%
49 22%
48 14%
50 12%
$2,044,400 Объем
$2,044,400 Объем
≤47
26%
48
14%
49
22%
50
12%
51
9%
52
7%
53
7%
54
3%
55
2%
56
1%
57+
2%
≤47 26%
49 22%
48 14%
50 12%
$2,044,400 Объем
$2,044,400 Объем
≤47
$27,243 Объем
26%
48
$14,717 Объем
14%
49
$10,633 Объем
22%
50
$59,581 Объем
12%
51
$154,287 Объем
9%
52
$502,448 Объем
7%
53
$10,259 Объем
7%
54
$706,218 Объем
3%
55
$391,092 Объем
2%
56
$138,698 Объем
1%
57+
$29,222 Объем
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages in battleground races have shifted toward Democrats in several Republican-held or open Senate seats, including North Carolina (open, Tillis retiring), Michigan (open, Peters retiring), Ohio (special), Georgia, and Maine (Collins), fueling trader consensus for a tight outcome clustered at 47-50 Republican seats after the November 2026 midterms. Republicans defend 22 seats overall—mostly in safe territory—but face potential net losses of 3-6 amid a generic ballot favoring Democrats by 6-7 points nationally. Cook Political Report rates only six races competitive as of January, yet prediction markets diverge, highlighting uncertainty from open seats and early surveys. Upcoming primaries, presidential approval trends, and turnout in swing states could tip the balance for majority control.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$2,044,400Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages in battleground races have shifted toward Democrats in several Republican-held or open Senate seats, including North Carolina (open, Tillis retiring), Michigan (open, Peters retiring), Ohio (special), Georgia, and Maine (Collins), fueling trader consensus for a tight outcome clustered at 47-50 Republican seats after the November 2026 midterms. Republicans defend 22 seats overall—mostly in safe territory—but face potential net losses of 3-6 amid a generic ballot favoring Democrats by 6-7 points nationally. Cook Political Report rates only six races competitive as of January, yet prediction markets diverge, highlighting uncertainty from open seats and early surveys. Upcoming primaries, presidential approval trends, and turnout in swing states could tip the balance for majority control.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$2,044,400Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages in battleground races have shifted toward Democrats in several Republican-held or open Senate seats, including North Carolina (open, Tillis retiring), Michigan (open, Peters retiring), Ohio (special), Georgia, and Maine (Collins), fueling trader consensus for a tight outcome clustered at 47-50 Republican seats after the November 2026 midterms. Republicans defend 22 seats overall—mostly in safe territory—but face potential net losses of 3-6 amid a generic ballot favoring Democrats by 6-7 points nationally. Cook Political Report rates only six races competitive as of January, yet prediction markets diverge, highlighting uncertainty from open seats and early surveys. Upcoming primaries, presidential approval trends, and turnout in swing states could tip the balance for majority control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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